The Bihar Election 2025 has entered its final stage after completion of both phases of voting. With 243 seats at stake, all attention now shifts to the Bihar Election Result 2025, due on November 14. The exit poll Bihar 2025 and the opinion poll Bihar Assembly 2025 have already sparked an intense political debate across the state.
According to the India TV–MATRIZE Exit Poll, the NDA alliance appears ahead with a projected 147 to 167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may win 70 to 90 seats. Others and independents together could secure 2 to 8 seats.
Bihar Election 2025 Exit Poll and Opinion Poll Highlights
Total Assembly Seats: 243
Majority Mark: 122
NDA: 147 – 167 seats
Mahagathbandhan: 70 – 90 seats
Others: 2 – 8 seats
NDA Vote Share: 48.4 %
Mahagathbandhan Vote Share: 36.8 %
Others Vote Share: 14.8 %
Polling across Bihar recorded 66.91 % turnout, higher than the 57.22 % turnout in 2020. Phase 1 registered 65.08 %, while Phase 2 saw 68.69 %. The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 thus created a new benchmark for participation.
Scenario 1: NDA Wins Bihar Election 2025
If the Bihar Election Result 2025 reflects exit-poll predictions, the NDA is likely to form the next government with a clear majority.
Party-wise projections indicate:
Party Estimated Seats
JDU 67 – 75
BJP 67 – 73
LJPR 7 – 9
HAM 4 – 5
RLM 1 – 2
Such numbers would comfortably cross the majority mark, ensuring NDA’s return to power.
In this scenario, Nitish Kumar may continue as the Chief Minister, or the BJP could propose a new face depending on post-result negotiations. The Bihar Election 2025 winning chances for the NDA are currently estimated at around 65 % – 70 %, based on voter turnout and rural-urban voting trends.
If this outcome holds, the Bihar CM Election 2025 will likely be a smooth transition within the alliance, strengthening the NDA’s presence in the Hindi heartland.
Political analysts suggest that the NDA’s advantage came from improved support among women voters and effective booth management. Reports indicate that 65 % of women voters backed the NDA, a decisive factor in close constituencies.
The Bihar Satta Bazar 2025 trends also mirror this sentiment, with betting odds heavily tilted towards an NDA victory.
Scenario 2: Mahagathbandhan Surprises in Bihar Election 2025
However, if the Bihar Assembly Election 2025 Result diverges from exit-poll trends, the Mahagathbandhan could emerge as a surprise winner.
Here’s how that scenario might unfold:
Party Estimated Seats
RJD 95 – 105
Congress (INC) 15 – 20
CPIML + Left Parties 10 – 14
VIP and Others 5 – 8
If the Mahagathbandhan reaches near or above 122 seats, it could form the government with smaller parties’ support.
In this case, Tejashwi Yadav of the RJD would be the leading contender for Chief Minister of Bihar. The Bihar Election 2025 opinion poll result had earlier suggested an undercurrent of anti-incumbency in certain northern and central districts, which might have benefitted the opposition if reflected in actual results.
A Mahagathbandhan win would mark a major political shift, indicating that young voters and rural women favored change over continuity.
Bihar Vidhan Sabha Election 2025: Date-wise Voting Details
Phase Date Seats Turnout
Phase 1 November 6 2025 121 Seats 65.08 %
Phase 2 November 11 2025 122 Seats 68.69 %
Total — 243 Seats 66.91 %
The Bihar Vidhan Sabha Election 2025 thus saw the state’s highest participation in recent decades, confirming renewed voter enthusiasm.
Bihar Election 2025: Seat-Wise Voting Trends
Highest Voting: Kasba (81.18 %)
Lowest Voting: Kumhrar (40.17 %)
Meenapur: 77.54 %, a consistent high-turnout seat since 2020
Such variations across regions often determine the final margin between alliances.
Bihar Election 2025 Result Date and Counting
The Bihar Election Result 2025 will be officially announced on November 14, 2025, after counting of votes begins at 8 a.m. All 243 constituencies will report live updates on TV and the Election Commission portal.
What to Expect Next
Whether the NDA retains power or the Mahagathbandhan stages a comeback, this election will redefine Bihar’s political narrative.
The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has demonstrated record voter engagement, a decisive role for women, and a maturing democratic process.
For now, Bihar waits for Election Results Today Live, hoping for a stable government that focuses on development, education, and employment.
